New Report Projects Number of High School Graduates across America
New Report Projects Number of High School Graduates across AmericaJosé Rios, Director, Multicultural Communications
This past week, the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE) released its newest iteration of the report Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates.
This report, developed in collaboration with the College Board, provides policymakers, college enrollment managers, counselors, school leaders, researchers, and the media with state-by-state demographic trends, and it projects how the numbers of high school graduates are likely to change in the years ahead.
“The denominator is important. Without descriptive statistics we don't know what is going on,” said Jack Buckley, senior vice president of research at the College Board. “The data in Knocking at the College Door will prove extremely useful to our members and to other educators and policymakers as they plan for the challenges ahead.”
The study, now in its ninth edition, remains the only national series that includes state-level projections for students attending private schools and the most comprehensive report analyzing public high school graduates by race/ethnicity at the state and regional levels. This year, for the first time, projections were also included for Guam and Puerto Rico.
Key findings from the report: an overall decline in high school graduates, dramatic increases in Hispanic and Asian/Pacific Islander graduates, and a sharp decline in private school graduates.
“We are moving toward a time when nearly half of all high school graduates will be students of color, with the largest increases among Hispanics and Asian/Pacific Islanders,” said Joe Garcia, president of WICHE. “Meanwhile, as our population continues to shift geographically, the states that will gain the most population will educate the highest percentage of students of color.”
The report, part of a series that has been released every four years for nearly four decades, is one of the most widely cited sources of comprehensive and reliable data about the future size and composition of high school graduating classes throughout the nation.
Users can use the data visualization tool that accompanies the online report at knocking.wiche.edu to see data for specific regions, states, and demographic groups. Individual state profiles are also available for download.